Trade war between China and the United States: who can't afford to win the war?
A trade war is not beneficial to either side, which should be a consensus.
Two major measures
The National Information Center wishes Bao Liang an account: "if the United States levied 25% tariffs on China's 60 billion - dollar commodity, China's exports reduced by about $10 billion, and GDP dropped 0.1%. In the worst case, if China and the United States achieve a basic balance of trade, the growth rate of China's economic growth will be reduced by about 2.5 percentage points and about 14 million people in non-agricultural employment. "
After China's policy of adding tariffs in the United States, the reason why China has taken equal measures is to tell the United States that China is not afraid to play with the United States. This trade war will not be the winner of the United States. It is the best choice for both parties to negotiate a solution to the problem. In my opinion, China should play two cards:
One is to take out a series of breakthrough reform measures. During the Boao forum for Asia, the country has produced a series of major reform initiatives. Hainan has built free trade zones across the border and explored the construction of free trade ports. In the field of medicine and medicine, the tariffs on some cancer drugs are reduced to zero. It's all very necessary.
The two is to learn from Trump, to reduce tax on a large scale and hedge its strategy of "making China 2025". For now, China should stick to its own development strategy in the field of manufacturing. Tax cuts are the best ways to cut taxes on a large scale.
Three bad ideas
However, some mainstream media in China are shouting "we are not afraid". The so-called ignorant are fearless. These sounds are not only funny but also horrible. The rare-earth strategy, the depreciation of the renminbi and the sell-off of US debt are the three worst ideas I have seen so far.
First to say rare earth strategy, every time China and other countries have some friction, some people will take out rare earth to say things, think of rare earth as an extremely important strategic resource, opponents will undoubtedly suffer heavy damage. Not to say that this is a violation of the basic rules of WTO, and if China really takes the resources such as rare earth to deal with the United States, the same way for the us to hold China is too much.